The possible impact of employee absenteeism risk on a construction project
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Lublin University of Technology, Faculty of Civil Engineering and Architecture, ul. Nadbystrzycka 40, 20-618 Lublin, Poland
Wrocław University of Science and Technology, Faculty of Civil Engineering, Plac Grunwaldzki 11, 50-384 Wrocław, Poland
Submission date: 2021-06-10
Final revision date: 2021-11-21
Acceptance date: 2022-03-15
Publication date: 2022-12-30
Archives of Civil Engineering 2022;68(4):31-44
Worker absenteeism is identified as the greatest threat to not meeting the completion date of a construction project. The purpose of this paper is to quantify the impact of employee absenteeism risk on the probabilistic lead time of a construction project. Calculations of employee absenteeism risk values were performed using data from the Central Statistical Office (Big Data). Probabilistic schedules with probability density functions (Normal, Exponential, Reyleigh, Triangle, Gamma, Cauchy) with and without calculated employee absenteeism risk were prepared. Student’s t-test and MAPE analysis of mean absolute percentage errors were performed to determine differences between groups. It was found that with respect to the probability of completing the task in the range of 75 to 95% for all functions, an unacceptable MAPE error of 32.82% to 69.23% arises. Therefore, the authors postulate that the risk of worker absenteeism should be considered in every construction process when performing probabilistic scheduling, i.e., in the Building Information Modeling BIM methodology.
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