Research on deep excavation deformation prediction model based on machine learning algorithms
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1
Design department, The 1st geological brigade of Jiangsu Geology & Mineral Exploration Bureau, China
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Design, The 1st geological brigade of Jiangsu Geology & Mineral Exploration Bureau, China
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school of civil engineering and architecture, Zhejiang university of science & technology, China
Submission date: 2024-07-22
Final revision date: 2024-09-21
Acceptance date: 2024-10-21
Publication date: 2026-03-04
Corresponding author
Yansheng Deng
school of civil engineering and architecture, Zhejiang university of science & technology, 310023, Hangzhou, China
Archives of Civil Engineering 2026;72(1):393-403
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ABSTRACT
Due to the continuous rise of urban underground space development, there has been an increasing number of deep excavation project in recent years, in China. The complexity of hydrogeological conditions and surrounding environment makes it difficult to calculate the deformation of enclosure structure caused by deep excavation. Based on the monitoring data during the entire deep excavation process, four data-driven machine-learning algorithms were developed and evaluated in this study to predict deep horizontal displacement (DHD) of enclosure structure considering the excavation process and spatial effect. The results showed that the XGBoost algorithm has the best performance, with an RMSE of 2.3397, an MAE of 1.5732 and R2 of 0.9088. Furthermore, it has higher accuracy in predicting the DHD at the corners, followed by the deformation caused by excavation stage 2. It can be seen that the machine-learning algorithms can be a potential tool for predicting DHD caused by deep excavation in practical engineering.