Application of exponential smoothing method to forecasting daily water consumption in rural areas
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Wrocław University of Science and Technology, Faculty of Environmental Engineering, Wybrzeze Wyspianskiego 27, 50-370 Wrocław, Poland
Submission date: 2022-10-13
Final revision date: 2023-03-01
Acceptance date: 2023-03-14
Publication date: 2023-09-18
Archives of Civil Engineering 2023;3(3)
The size and distribution of water demand within a given structural unit is the basis for the proper operation and planning of the expansion and modernization of the water supply system’s elements. In rural areas, particularly in municipalities adjacent to urban-industrial agglomerations, a change in the use of tap water has been increasingly observed. The water consumption for animal breeding or agricultural use, typical of these areas, has been decreasing and even disappearing. Water has been increasingly used for domestic purposes in single- and multi-family housing as well as for other purposes such as watering lawns and filling residential swimming pools. Taking this into account, this paper presents observations regarding daily water consumption in a municipality adjacent to Wrocław together with an analysis of the possibility of using the exponential smoothing method for the short-term forecasting of daily water consumption. The analyses presented in this paper were carried out using STATISTICA 13 software.
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